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Opinion: Global stability on the brink

Global co-operation and bold action are needed now if we are to avoid a crisis.
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Mental health crises and homelessness are on the rise, especially in the United States and Canada, where a lack of affordable housing and insufficient mental health care leave vulnerable populations adrift.

The global economy teeters on a precipice, struggling against inflation, surging energy costs, and supply chain disruptions, all worsened by ongoing geopolitical conflicts, particularly the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. Central banks’ attempts to rein in inflation through interest rate hikes bring a real risk of recession. Developing nations, already drowning in debt, face the spectre of financial collapse, widening the gap between the affluent and the impoverished. The stakes have never been higher, and the time for action is now.

This economic strain is particularly visible in Latin America, where countries like Mexico, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala grapple with compounded instability from the relentless war on drugs. Violent clashes between cartels, gangs, and state forces devastate communities, forcing many to flee their homes, creating a migration crisis with far-reaching effects beyond regional borders.

Human welfare, already strained, is visibly deteriorating. Mental health crises and homelessness are on the rise, especially in the United States and Canada, where a lack of affordable housing and insufficient mental health care leave vulnerable populations adrift. These issues, intertwined with economic inequality, bring lasting social and economic consequences that ripple through entire communities, fraying the social fabric in ways that will take decades to repair.

In the United States, the opioid crisis compounds this complexity, placing enormous strain on public health systems and highlighting the inextricable link between economic instability, violence, and public health.

Environmental crises add yet another layer. The climate crisis, seen in more frequent wildfires, hurricanes, floods, and droughts, disrupts ecosystems and jeopardizes food security. The rapid growth of coastal cities and expansion into once-forested areas only intensifies the severity of these events, particularly in vulnerable regions.

Haiti exemplifies how environmental challenges can merge disastrously with political instability. Political turmoil and gang violence drive mass displacement, adding to the migration pressures in Europe and North America. Despite international agreements like the Paris Accord, nations struggle to balance economic interests against environmental imperatives, risking irreversible damage to both economies and ecosystems.

Demographic trends present their own challenges. Developed countries confront declining birthrates and increasing aging populations, which strain healthcare and pension systems. Japan and China adapt to depopulation, with China further constrained by the lingering impacts of its one-child policy. In contrast, many developing nations have burgeoning youth populations facing unemployment and limited opportunities, creating fertile ground for social unrest.

These demographic imbalances drive migration, fueling global political tensions. In the U.S., the southern border is a focal point as migrants from Central America escape violence and economic ruin. At the same time, rapid urbanization in regions like Africa and Latin America outpaces infrastructure, breeding inequality and unrest. Criminal networks fill these gaps, exploiting vulnerable communities and destabilizing areas with already fragile governance.

Political polarization further undermines trust in democratic institutions. As governments struggle to manage rising tensions, populist and authoritarian movements gain traction, weakening the rule of law. Disinformation campaigns, propelled by both state and non-state actors and amplified by social media, erode public trust. This trend, vividly apparent during the pandemic, continues to impact democratic processes, such as the recent U.S. elections.

Corruption compounds these issues in regions like Central America and parts of Africa, where fragile institutions are overwhelmed by a perfect storm of economic, environmental, and social pressures. International bodies like the United Nations and the World Trade Organization often struggle to respond effectively, limited by nationalistic and protectionist agendas.

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East exacerbate these global crises. Beyond the human toll, these conflicts disrupt food and energy supplies, pushing millions into poverty and hunger. In the Middle East, proxy conflicts – including Iran’s support of groups like Hamas and Hezbollah, and Houthi disruptions in the Red Sea – reveal how regional disputes can spiral into global humanitarian crises.

Territorial disputes, such as those in the South China Sea, and nuclear threats from nations like North Korea pose ongoing threats to global stability. The international community must be both vigilant and proactive in addressing these flashpoints, lest they evolve into larger, uncontrollable conflicts.

Rapid technological advances bring both hope and concern. Innovations like fusion energy and advanced cell therapies promise to revolutionize industries and healthcare, potentially reshaping economies and social structures. Yet the swift pace of these developments challenges regulatory frameworks, raising questions about job displacement, data privacy, and misinformation, especially with the rise of artificial intelligence.

As we rush to embrace new technologies, the need for international co-operation becomes ever more pressing. While technologies like alternative energy and life-extension therapies hold great promise, without equitable access, they could deepen existing inequalities, creating a world where only the wealthy benefit from transformative advances.

As the world confronts this convergence of economic, environmental, demographic, and political crises, a holistic approach has never been more essential. The interconnected nature of these challenges calls for unprecedented international collaboration and fresh, innovative thinking to address both immediate and long-term needs.

This critical moment offers Canada – and all nations – the opportunity to be part of a global effort toward a more stable, equitable future. The issues we face demand transformative change and require a personal and public commitment to action. The question is, will we rise to the challenge, or let these crises define our era?

Dr. Perry Kinkaide is a visionary leader and change agent. Since retiring in 2001, he has served as an advisor and director for various organizations and founded the Alberta Council of Technologies Society in 2005. Previously, he held leadership roles at KPMG Consulting and the Alberta Government. He holds a BA from Colgate University and an MSc and PhD in Brain Research from the University of Alberta.

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The commentaries offered on Â鶹´«Ã½ are intended to provide thought-provoking material for our readers. The opinions expressed are those of the authors. Contributors' articles or letters do not necessarily reflect the opinion of any Â鶹´«Ã½ staff.

 

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